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Market Update
June 2019

FROM MICHAEL ORR AT THE CROMFORD REPORT
THE PHOENIX AREA LEADING EXPERT ON REAL ESTATE ANALYSIS.


Monthly Sales Up 7.1% in Greater Phoenix Higher Incomes in Greater Phoenix Fueling More Contracts and Rising Prices

For Buyers:

Re-sale prices are not predicted to come down this year. Between August 2018 and January 2019 it looked like the market was going to balance out and cause prices to stabilize around the 2nd half of 2019. However two things happened to change that prediction. First, average 30-year mortgage rates dropped from a high of 4.94% in November 2018 to 3.82% as of June 2019. That alone has saved buyers around $177/month on a median-priced $279,000 home with 4% down. Second, private sector annual earnings in Greater Phoenix rose 1.8% in April after an 8-month period of stagnation. In the last decade home prices have gone flat just twice, in 2011 and 2014. Both times there was a corresponding decline in annual earnings. If annual earnings continue to grow and interest rates remain low, the Greater Phoenix seller market will continue to push home prices up this year.

For Sellers:

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